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Latest currency exchange news covering middle east and asia

Yesterday saw yet another volatile day of trading with GBP/USD moving across a 2½ cent range. The dollars initial strength came from US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner’s announcement that the US would not engage in dollar devaluation and needed to work hard to preserve confidence in a strong dollar.

Sterling fell around 0.4% early on to .5835, well below Friday’s 8 ½ month high .6108. At 11.00am a CBI Industrial Trends Survey showing a guide to exports and outputs showed a decline to -28, way below the -19 consensus figure, this added
pressure to sterling causing a fall to below .58, as investors saw these figures as ‘concerning’ for the UK economic outlook.

Most investor eyes are fixed on today s BoE minutes which are announced at 9.30am. The key information from the minutes will be the indication to how the voting for additional Quantitative Easing went. Market players expect the BoE to show a three-way split, with policymaker Adam Posen voting for more QE, which would act as a counterbalance to policy-maker Andrew Sentance, who has voted for a interest rate increase since June. Sterling could strengthen if the minutes show a better scenario than a 3 way split.
"The risk is on the downside for sterling," said Christian Lawrence, currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets. "The market will look to whether the budget cuts are credible."

The dollar furthered gains across the board later that day as risk aversion saw investors head back into the dollar, as currencies such as the Euro and Aussie Dollar were sold off. The risk aversion came from a shock 25 basis point interest rate increase in China, which investors fear could lead to a set back in China’s global growth and could slow China’s vast demand for commodities. The interest rate
increase is also seen as a potential precautionary measure for vast inflation figures in the imminent future.
After the rate increase the euro plummeted from as high as .4003 to as low as .3767, the euro also lost ground against the pound moving from €1.1325 to €1.1412. Sterling however, lost further ground moving as low as .5695 but finished UK trading back above .57.